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DSE Economics | Balance of Payments and Exchange Rates Lesson-Prep Guide (Tutors)

DSE Economics | Balance of Payments and Exchange Rates Lesson-Prep Guide (Tutors)

  • 2026-11-05

Students can say that appreciation makes a currency stronger, then freeze when asked what happens to the foreign-currency price of a HK$780 export. One fixed conversion routine fixes that.

Objectives — Students can: (1) list the four current account components and compute the balance; (2) convert an exchange rate after a 10% appreciation by dividing by 1.1; (3) explain the effect of appreciation on export prices, import prices and the current account, stating the Marshall-Lerner condition.

01 Prerequisites (3-minute check)

If any of these fails, fix it before the lesson starts.

Skill Quick check Pass mark
Percentages A 10% rise means multiplying by 1.1 Appreciation uses division
Demand and supply Higher price, lower quantity demanded Export price up, volume down
Elasticity Elastic means responsive Elasticity decides the revenue direction

02 Lesson flow (60 minutes)

Time Stage Tutor does Student does
0-8 min Diagnostic Three oral conversions Write the working
8-22 min Current account Four components and signs Fill the table
22-36 min Exchange-rate maths Old rate divided by 1.1 Three scenarios
36-48 min Effects of appreciation Price, quantity, revenue Layer the chain
48-56 min Question practice Calculation and discussion Follow the steps
56-60 min Exit check Three quick questions Oral answers

03 Teaching script (read it out)

Scene 1: Act 1: the current account is not just exports minus imports

Write the four components: goods, services, income, current transfers. Use one number set: goods deficit 120 billion, services surplus 380 billion, income inflow 250 billion and outflow 180 billion, so net income is 70 billion. The current account is -120 + 380 + 70 = 330 billion. Insist that every figure carries a sign before adding.

Students fill signs in the table, then add the column themselves and state surplus or deficit.

Scene 2: Act 2: appreciation has one conversion routine

The peg is 7.8 HKD per USD. A 10% appreciation means the new rate is the old rate divided by 1.1: 7.8 / 1.1 = 7.09. Take a HK$780 export: it cost 100.0 USD before and 110.01 USD now, up about 10.01%. Stronger HKD makes the same Hong Kong good dearer abroad, so export competitiveness falls.

Students repeat the routine for a 10% depreciation and state the reversed direction.

Scene 3: Act 3: appreciation does not automatically fix the current account

Marshall-Lerner: export elasticity 1.2 plus import elasticity 0.6 equals 1.8, above one, so depreciation would improve the current account with these parameters. If the two elasticities sum below one, volumes barely move and the balance can worsen. Every discussion answer must state the elasticity assumption first.

Pairs debate whether appreciation is good for Hong Kong; each side must quote one elasticity number.

04 Question types and worked steps

Type Example Steps Answer
Current account balance Goods -120, services +380, net income +70 Set signs, add item by item, state units 330 bn surplus
New exchange rate 7.80 per USD, 10% appreciation Old rate divided by 1.1, two decimals 7.09
Export price in foreign currency HK$780 good Divide by the old rate, then the new rate, compare USD 100.0 to 110.01
Discuss appreciation HKD up 10% Price, quantity, revenue, then elasticity Depends on elasticities
Sanity check (teach this): Keep the direction consistent: a stronger HKD buys fewer HKD per dollar, so USD/HKD falls from 7.8 to 7.09, it does not rise. The export price rises from USD 100.0 to USD 110.01, about 10.01%, because the same local-currency value is converted. The current account balance of 330 billion is a surplus, so the sign must not be dropped.

05 Independent practice (3 questions)

Question Answer What to watch
Goods -80, services +200, net income -30: current account? 90 bn surplus Signs dropped
7.80 per USD, 10% depreciation: new rate? 8.58 Multiply or divide
Export elasticity 1.2, import elasticity 0.6: does depreciation help? Yes, sum 1.8 Condition stated

06 Common mistakes and what to say

Mistake Student writes Say this
Appreciation read as a higher rate Writing 7.80 rising to 8.58 “If the HKD is stronger, does one USD buy more HKD?”
Multiplying the export price Doing 780 times 1.1 “Are you converting a price or raising it?”
Current account as goods only Dropping services and income “Where do finance and tourism earnings go?”
No elasticity in discussion Saying appreciation always hurts exports “How much does volume actually fall?”

07 Homework (paper, section and question numbers)

08 Exit check (last 5 minutes)

Question Answer Decision
New rate after 10% appreciation from 7.80 7.09 Wrong: reteach division
Goods -120, services +380, net income +70 330 bn surplus Wrong: reteach signs
Marshall-Lerner direction Elasticities sum above one Wrong: reteach elasticity

09 Tutor FAQ

Why divide for appreciation

The quote is HKD per USD, so a stronger HKD means fewer HKD per dollar; divide the old rate by 1.1.

Is a current account surplus always good

No. It can reflect weak domestic demand or excess saving, so read it with the cycle and the structure.

Why does Hong Kong run a services surplus

Finance, logistics, tourism and professional services exports outweigh the goods deficit, typical of a small open economy.

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