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DSE Geography | Population Ageing Lesson-Prep Guide (Tutor Edition) | Dependency Ratio, Pyramids and Policy

DSE Geography | Population Ageing Lesson-Prep Guide (Tutor Edition) | Dependency Ratio, Pyramids and Policy

  • 2026-11-02

Students see a narrow base and say falling births, but cannot say how many workers carry each dependent. This lesson turns the shape of a pyramid into one comparable number.

Objectives — Students can: (1) compute the total dependency ratio from three age groups and interpret it; (2) read a pyramid and match narrow and bulging bands to past events; (3) evaluate three ageing policies with costs and benefits.

01 Prerequisites (3-minute check)

If any of these fails, fix it before the lesson starts.

Skill Quick check Pass mark
Ratios How a ratio becomes a percentage Multiply by 100
Age groups Which ages count as working age 15 to 64
Averages Mean versus median The median takes the middle value

02 Lesson flow (60 minutes)

Time Stage Tutor does Student does
0-8 min Three groups Young, working, old Sort the data
8-20 min Dependency ratio (Young + old) over working 42.9%
20-32 min Pyramid reading Narrow base, bulging middle Name two past events
32-44 min Impacts Labour, health care, pensions One consequence each
44-54 min Policy Births, migration, longer careers Costs and benefits
54-60 min Exit check Three questions, marked at once Done independently

03 Teaching script (read it out)

Scene 1: The dependency ratio: one fraction for the burden

With 10% young, 20% old and 70% of working age, the total dependency ratio is (10 + 20) / 70 x 100 = 42.9%, meaning about 43 dependants per hundred workers.
Of 7.5 million people, roughly 1.50 million are elderly; if 6% need long-term care, that is about 0.09 million people.
A rising ratio does not automatically mean a weaker economy; productivity and participation matter too.

Ask the student: if the elderly share rises from 20% to 25% with a fixed working group, the ratio becomes 50%.

Scene 2: The pyramid: shape is history

A narrow base means falling births, a bulging middle means a baby boom now in mid-life, and a widening top means longer lives.
The median age rises from 44 to 52, up 8 years, while life expectancy rises from 83.0 to 86.5.
A low birth, low death, long life society sits in stage four, so the pyramid looks like a lantern rather than a triangle.

Ask the student: a triangular pyramid belongs to which stage of the demographic transition (one or two).

Scene 3: Policy: three roads, each with a price

Encouraging births: cash allowances and childcare, slow to show, costly, and hard to reverse falling fertility.
Admitting migrants: fills the working gap at once but pressures housing and integration, and is politically sensitive.
Extending working and retirement ages: raises participation but burdens manual workers unless retraining follows.
Health and elderly care: community plus residential care, a cost that rises regardless.

Ask the student: why birth incentives cannot shift the ratio quickly (a baby needs fifteen years to enter the workforce).

04 Question types and worked steps

Type Example Steps Answer
Calculation Total dependency ratio (Young + old) over working x 100 42.9%
Calculation Number of elderly Total population x elderly share 1.50 million
Interpretation Population pyramid Compare base, middle and top widths Shape maps to births and deaths
Essay Policy evaluation Policy, benefit, limitation One limitation per policy
Sanity check (teach this): The denominator is the working-age group, not the total population, and the three shares must add to 100%. A ratio above 100% means more dependants than workers and needs data support. A share and a headcount are different answers, so read what the question asks.

05 Independent practice (3 questions)

Question Answer What to watch
Total ratio with 10% young and 20% old 42.9% Add, then divide by the working share
Elderly count within 7.5 million 1.50 million Multiply by the share
What a narrow pyramid base shows Falling birth rate Look at the bottom two bands

06 Common mistakes and what to say

Mistake Student writes Say this
Using total population as denominator Ratio computed as 30.0% The divisor is the working-age group.
Shares that do not add to 100% Dropping the young group Add the three groups first.
Mixing a share with a headcount Answering 200 thousand for 20% Multiply the share by the total.
Listing only benefits Essay praises migration only Give one limitation per policy to reach the top band.

07 Homework (paper, section and question numbers)

08 Exit check (last 5 minutes)

Question Answer Decision
Ratio for 10% and 20% 42.9% All three right: move to urbanisation
Elderly count in 7.5 million 1.50 million One wrong: reteach proportion
Meaning of a narrow base Falling births Two or more wrong: return to act two

09 Tutor FAQ

Is a higher dependency ratio always worse?

No; productivity, participation and social protection all matter.

Why use a pyramid rather than a single ratio?

It shows age and sex structure, while a ratio gives only one total.

Does ageing come more from births or from longevity?

Both, but in recent decades low fertility weighs more.

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